Simba 4-0 Tanzania Prisons: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, May 10 2026 Β· 16:00
FT
πŸ† Ligi kuu Bara
🌍 Tanzania
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.65
League avg: 1.70
Both
2.10
League avg: 2.20
Away
0.45
League avg: 0.50
1X2 Probability
Home
83%
ELO-based: 61%
Draw
14%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
3%
ELO-based: 15%
Goal Probability
2.5+
41%
3.5+
29%
BTTS
56%
Best Score Tips
1 - 020%
2 - 017%
0 - 012%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Simba vs Tanzania Prisons

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Simba vs Tanzania Prisons.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Tanzania Prisons
01234
Simba 0 12.2% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 20.2% 9.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1677+28
League
1514Β±0
Away
1428-5
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Simba16771690157616431743+28
Tanzania Prisons14281417144714021431-5
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Simba221461371359DWWDW
Tanzania Prisons15211435131128LLDLL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Simba 5 73% 69% 77% 1.8 0.6
Tanzania Prisons 5 7% 23% 15% 0.6 2.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Simba 2.0 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.4
Tanzania Prisons 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.3 1.3
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Simba 1.7 2.0 0.4 0.5
Tanzania Prisons 0.5 0.4 1.3 1.3
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 17.65% 33.33% 14.81%
16-30 17.65% 10.00% 7.41%
31-45 26.47% 16.67% 30.00% 29.63%
46-60 8.82% 16.67% 10.00% 11.11%
61-75 11.76% 25.00% 30.00% 14.81%
76-90 17.65% 8.33% 20.00% 22.22%
Team Comparison
92%
Form
8%
75%
Attack
25%
79%
Defense
21%
89%
Poisson
11%
8%
H2H
2%
77%
Goals
23%
82%
Total
18%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Simba 3-0 0-3 0-2 3 / 3 2 / 1
Tanzania Prisons 3-2 1-2 1-4 3-0 3 / 2 4 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Simba 14 7 7 5 1 4
Tanzania Prisons 5 5 0 13 7 6
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Simba 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Tanzania Prisons 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-02-22 Tanzania Prisons 0 - 2 FT Simba
2025-02-11 Simba 3 - 0 FT Tanzania Prisons
2024-10-22 Tanzania Prisons 0 - 1 FT Simba
2024-03-06 Simba 1 - 2 FT Tanzania Prisons
2023-10-05 Tanzania Prisons 1 - 3 FT Simba
2022-12-30 Simba 7 - 1 FT Tanzania Prisons
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.07 Homepage market
Draw 9.50 Homepage market
Away win 29.00 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.53 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+3' Simba Card Yellow Card
62' Simba Goal Normal Goal
46' Tanzania Prisons K. Sengati subst Out: S. Kimenya
45+1' Tanzania Prisons E. Martin Card Yellow Card
44' Simba S. Mwalimu Goal Normal Goal
42' Simba C. Chama Goal Normal Goal
28' Simba M. Abraham Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Ligi kuu Bara 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Young Africans Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification) 1 23 54 16 6 1 52 8 44 LWWDW
Simba Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification) 2 23 52 15 7 1 42 9 33 WWWDW
Azam Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification) 3 23 46 12 10 1 33 9 24 WLWWW
Singida Black Stars 4 23 38 11 5 7 30 23 7 WWWLD
JKT Tanzania 5 23 36 9 9 5 23 22 1 DWLWL
Tabora United 6 23 34 9 7 7 28 21 7 DWLWW
Dodoma Jiji 7 23 32 8 8 7 22 23 -1 WDWDL
Pamba Jiji 8 23 30 7 9 7 22 24 -2 LDLWL
Mashujaa 9 23 26 5 11 7 11 20 -9 LDWDD
Mtibwa Sugar 10 23 26 6 8 9 20 32 -12 WLLLL
Coastal Union 11 23 25 6 7 10 22 29 -7 WLLWW
Fountain Gate 12 23 25 7 4 12 17 33 -16 LWWLW
Namungo Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) 13 23 24 5 9 9 17 24 -7 LDLDL
Mbeya City Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) 14 23 21 5 6 12 18 34 -16 LLWDL
Tanzania Prisons Relegation 15 23 17 4 5 14 12 32 -20 WLLLD
KMC Relegation 16 23 9 2 3 18 13 39 -26 LLLLD