Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Fountain Gate: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Thu, May 14 2026 Β· 11:00
FT
πŸ† Ligi kuu Bara
🌍 Tanzania
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.99
League avg: 0.50
Both
1.82
League avg: 1.30
Away
0.83
League avg: 0.80
1X2 Probability
Home
32%
ELO-based: 34%
Draw
34%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
34%
ELO-based: 42%
Goal Probability
2.5+
40%
3.5+
21%
BTTS
43%
Best Score Tips
0 - 016%
1 - 016%
0 - 113%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Fountain Gate
01234
Tanzania Prisons 0 16.2% 13.4% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3%
2 8.0% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1428-5
League
1514Β±0
Away
1463+19
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Tanzania Prisons14281417148614021431-5
Fountain Gate14631471147214071458+19
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Tanzania Prisons15221435141132LDLLL
Fountain Gate12222574111732LWLWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Tanzania Prisons 5 7% 22% 0% 0.4 2.6
Fountain Gate 5 60% 100% 0% 1.8 2.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Tanzania Prisons 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.5
Fountain Gate 1.0 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.5
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Tanzania Prisons 0.5 0.6 1.5 1.3
Fountain Gate 0.8 0.5 1.5 1.5
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 33.33% 5.26% 12.90% 6.67%
16-30 5.26% 9.68% 13.33%
31-45 16.67% 26.32% 32.26% 23.33%
46-60 16.67% 5.26% 9.68% 23.33%
61-75 25.00% 26.32% 16.13% 16.67%
76-90 8.33% 31.58% 19.35% 16.67%
Team Comparison
1%
Form
9%
18%
Attack
82%
43%
Defense
57%
43%
Poisson
57%
5%
H2H
5%
54%
Goals
46%
36%
Total
64%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Tanzania Prisons 3-2 1-2 1-4 4-0 3 / 2 4 / 4
Fountain Gate 3-2 2-3 1-4 3-0 3 / 3 4 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Tanzania Prisons 5 5 0 14 7 7
Fountain Gate 5 3 2 10 3 7
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Tanzania Prisons 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Fountain Gate 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-11-26 Fountain Gate 1 - 0 FT Tanzania Prisons
2025-06-30 Tanzania Prisons 3 - 1 FT Fountain Gate
2025-06-26 Fountain Gate 1 - 1 FT Tanzania Prisons
2025-02-26 Fountain Gate 1 - 0 FT Tanzania Prisons
2024-10-01 Tanzania Prisons 3 - 2 FT Fountain Gate
2024-02-15 Tanzania Prisons 3 - 1 FT Fountain Gate
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.25 Homepage market
Draw 2.88 Homepage market
Away win 3.10 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.50 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
85' Tanzania Prisons N. Kaboma subst Out: H. Chanongo
71' Fountain Gate C. Obasi subst Out: Razaq
71' Fountain Gate S. Said subst Out: O. Hashim
65' Tanzania Prisons M. Mutinda Card Yellow Card
61' Fountain Gate H. Musa subst Out: S. Mgunda
59' Tanzania Prisons O. Ochu Card Yellow Card
46' Tanzania Prisons D. Ramadhan subst Out: M. Mutinda
38' Tanzania Prisons D. Ramadhan Card Yellow Card
25' Tanzania Prisons G. Mpole Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Ligi kuu Bara 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Young Africans Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification) 1 23 54 16 6 1 52 8 44 LWWDW
Simba Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification) 2 23 52 15 7 1 42 9 33 WWWDW
Azam Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification) 3 23 46 12 10 1 33 9 24 WLWWW
Singida Black Stars 4 23 38 11 5 7 30 23 7 WWWLD
JKT Tanzania 5 23 36 9 9 5 23 22 1 DWLWL
Tabora United 6 23 34 9 7 7 28 21 7 DWLWW
Dodoma Jiji 7 23 32 8 8 7 22 23 -1 WDWDL
Pamba Jiji 8 23 30 7 9 7 22 24 -2 LDLWL
Mashujaa 9 23 26 5 11 7 11 20 -9 LDWDD
Mtibwa Sugar 10 23 26 6 8 9 20 32 -12 WLLLL
Coastal Union 11 23 25 6 7 10 22 29 -7 WLLWW
Fountain Gate 12 23 25 7 4 12 17 33 -16 LWWLW
Namungo Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) 13 23 24 5 9 9 17 24 -7 LDLDL
Mbeya City Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) 14 23 21 5 6 12 18 34 -16 LLWDL
Tanzania Prisons Relegation 15 23 17 4 5 14 12 32 -20 WLLLD
KMC Relegation 16 23 9 2 3 18 13 39 -26 LLLLD