Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio San Lázaro
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.27)
2.39 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 18.7% | 58.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Estradense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noia | 0 | 2.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noia | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 89% |
| Defense | 0% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noia | Estradense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 50% | 80% | 67% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Form: Noia: DLWLWLLLL • Estradense: WDWDDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Noia | Estradense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noia | Estradense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 89% | 56% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 33% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 33% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noia | Estradense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noia | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noia | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noia | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Estradense
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Noia = 1.26 (league 1.27), Estradense = 2.39 (league 1.09)
| Estradense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noia | 0 | 2.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 58.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1