Noia 1-5 Celta de Vigo III: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Noia 1-5 Celta de Vigo III: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 🌍 Spain

Sun, May 10 2026 · 16:00

Noia

1 - 5

Celta de Vigo III

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.20

League avg: 0.80

Both

2.40

League avg: 2.40

Away

1.20

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

31%

ELO-based: 23%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

42%

ELO-based: 53%

Goal Probability

2.5+

50%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

68%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 111%

1 - 011%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Noia vs Celta de Vigo III

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Noia vs Celta de Vigo III.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Celta de Vigo III
		0	1	2	3	4
Noia	0	9.1%	10.9%	6.5%	2.6%	0.8%
	1	10.9%	13.1%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
	2	6.5%	7.8%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
	3	2.6%	3.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	0.8%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1385-14

League

1495±0

Away

1526+23

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Noia	1385	1372	1455	1388	1398	-14
Celta de Vigo III	1526	1536	1507	1624	1498	+23

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Noia	17	33	25	6	7	20	27	52	LLWWL
Celta de Vigo III	7	33	48	12	12	9	52	41	LDLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Noia	5	40%	42%	58%	1.6	1.6
Celta de Vigo III	5	47%	47%	74%	1.8	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Noia	1.1	0.5	0.8	1.3	1.9	1.6
Celta de Vigo III	2.1	1.1	1.6	1.2	1.3	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Noia	0.8	1.1	1.6	1.3
Celta de Vigo III	1.6	1.1	1.2	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	7.41%	9.43%	17.31%	17.50%
16-30	22.22%	16.98%	11.54%	10.00%
31-45	29.63%	15.09%	11.54%	10.00%
46-60	14.81%	24.53%	21.15%	17.50%
61-75	7.41%	7.55%	9.62%	12.50%
76-90	18.52%	26.42%	28.85%	32.50%

Team Comparison

46%

Form

54%

47%

Attack

53%

38%

Defense

62%

47%

Poisson

53%

H2H

36%

Goals

64%

44%

Total

56%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Noia	4-1	0-3	1-3	5-0	4 / 3	3 / 5
Celta de Vigo III	5-0	0-4	2-4	5-1	5 / 4	4 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Noia	6	2	4	18	6	12
Celta de Vigo III	9	5	4	7	3	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Noia	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Celta de Vigo III	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-18	Celta de Vigo III	5 - 0 FT	Noia
2025-03-09	Celta de Vigo III	3 - 3 FT	Noia
2024-10-27	Noia	2 - 1 FT	Celta de Vigo III

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
60'	Celta de Vigo III	G. Cellerino	Goal	Normal Goal
56'	Celta de Vigo III	Fran Lopez	Goal	Normal Goal
45'	Noia	A. Sanchez Iglesias	Goal	Normal Goal
37'	Celta de Vigo III	I. Rodriguez	Goal	Normal Goal
32'	Celta de Vigo III	Fran Lopez	Goal	Normal Goal
5'	Celta de Vigo III	A. Eduardo	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Arosa Promotion	1	34	70	20	10	4	58	35	23	WWWWL
Compostela Promotion Playoffs	2	34	68	19	11	4	55	28	27	DWWDD
Atlético Arteixo Promotion Playoffs	3	34	58	16	10	8	54	44	10	WDWWL
Estradense Promotion Playoffs	4	34	53	14	11	9	46	33	13	LWLWW
Villalbés Promotion Playoffs	5	34	52	13	13	8	36	29	7	DWLLW
Boiro	6	34	51	13	12	9	45	29	16	DWLWW
Celta de Vigo III	7	34	51	13	12	9	57	42	15	WWWLD
Somozas	8	34	51	13	12	9	37	32	5	DWDLD
Coruña	9	34	48	12	12	10	48	42	6	WLDDL
CD Lugo B	10	34	48	12	12	10	41	35	6	LWWDD
Barco	11	34	46	13	7	14	35	41	-6	LLDLL
Alondras	12	34	45	12	9	13	45	48	-3	WLLWD
Celtiga	13	34	40	11	7	16	47	48	-1	LLLLL
Viveiro	14	34	38	9	11	14	27	41	-14	LWLDD
Silva	15	34	36	9	9	16	36	48	-12	DWWWD
Cambados Relegation	16	34	26	4	14	16	24	43	-19	LLLLL
Noia Relegation	17	34	25	6	7	21	28	57	-29	LLWWL
Barbadás Relegation	18	34	19	4	7	23	25	69	-44	LLLLW
Arosa	1	34	70	20	10	4	58	35	23	WWWWL
Compostela	2	34	68	19	11	4	55	28	27	DWWDD
Atlético Arteixo	3	34	58	16	10	8	54	44	10	WDWWL
Estradense	4	34	53	14	11	9	46	33	13	LWLWW
Villalbés	5	34	52	13	13	8	36	29	7	DWLLW
Boiro	6	34	51	13	12	9	45	29	16	DWLWW
Celta de Vigo III	7	34	51	13	12	9	56	41	15	WWWLD
Somozas	8	34	51	13	12	9	37	32	5	DWDLD
CD Lugo B	9	34	49	12	13	9	40	33	7	LWWDD
Coruña	10	34	48	12	12	10	47	41	6	WLDDL
Alondras	11	34	45	12	9	13	45	48	-3	WLLWD
Barco	12	34	44	12	8	14	30	38	-8	LLDLL
Celtiga	13	34	39	10	9	15	42	42	0	LLLLL
Viveiro	14	34	38	9	11	14	27	41	-14	LWLDD
Silva	15	34	36	9	9	16	36	48	-12	DWWWD
Cambados	16	34	26	4	14	16	24	43	-19	LLLLL
Noia	17	34	25	6	7	21	28	57	-29	LLWWL
Barbadás	18	34	19	4	7	23	25	69	-44	LLLLW