Arosa 3-2 Celtiga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Arosa 3-2 Celtiga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 🌍 Spain

Sun, May 10 2026 · 16:00

Arosa

3 - 2

Celtiga

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.65

League avg: 1.70

Both

2.60

League avg: 3.10

Away

0.95

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

66%

ELO-based: 55%

Draw

20%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 21%

Goal Probability

2.5+

53%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

72%

Best Score Tips

1 - 012%

1 - 112%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Arosa vs Celtiga

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Arosa vs Celtiga.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Celtiga
		0	1	2	3	4
Arosa	0	7.4%	7.1%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	12.3%	11.6%	5.5%	1.8%	0.4%
	2	10.1%	9.6%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
	3	5.6%	5.3%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	2.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1620+16

League

1495±0

Away

1458-41

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Arosa	1620	1635	1538	1603	1552	+16
Celtiga	1458	1433	1479	1518	1485	-41

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Arosa	1	33	67	19	10	4	55	33	DLWWW
Celtiga	13	33	40	11	7	15	45	45	LLLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Arosa	5	67%	25%	85%	1.0	0.6
Celtiga	5	0%	20%	45%	0.8	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Arosa	1.9	1.5	1.7	0.9	1.1	1.0
Celtiga	1.7	1.0	1.4	1.3	1.4	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Arosa	1.7	1.9	1.0	0.9
Celtiga	1.4	1.0	1.4	1.4

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	11.54%	13.04%	13.89%	15.91%
16-30	19.23%	15.22%	19.44%	13.64%
31-45	11.54%	13.04%	22.22%	13.64%
46-60	17.31%	21.74%	8.33%	25.00%
61-75	13.46%	10.87%	16.67%	11.36%
76-90	26.92%	26.09%	19.44%	20.45%

Team Comparison

Form

56%

Attack

44%

79%

Defense

21%

Poisson

H2H

57%

Goals

43%

66%

Total

35%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Arosa	5-2	0-2	0-2	3-0	5 / 4	2 / 3
Celtiga	5-0	2-4	0-3	3-0	5 / 4	5 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Arosa	13	6	7	4	1	3
Celtiga	8	6	2	8	3	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Arosa	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Celtiga	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-18	Celtiga	3 - 4 FT	Arosa

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
81'	Arosa	Gabri Palmas	Goal	Normal Goal
75'	Arosa	I. Lopez	Goal	Normal Goal
60'	Arosa	Gabri Palmas	Goal	Normal Goal
49'	Celtiga	N. Del Rio	Goal	Normal Goal
6'	Celtiga	A. Rodriguez	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Arosa Promotion	1	34	70	20	10	4	58	35	23	WWWWL
Compostela Promotion Playoffs	2	34	68	19	11	4	55	28	27	DWWDD
Atlético Arteixo Promotion Playoffs	3	34	58	16	10	8	54	44	10	WDWWL
Estradense Promotion Playoffs	4	34	53	14	11	9	46	33	13	LWLWW
Villalbés Promotion Playoffs	5	34	52	13	13	8	36	29	7	DWLLW
Boiro	6	34	51	13	12	9	45	29	16	DWLWW
Celta de Vigo III	7	34	51	13	12	9	57	42	15	WWWLD
Somozas	8	34	51	13	12	9	37	32	5	DWDLD
Coruña	9	34	48	12	12	10	48	42	6	WLDDL
CD Lugo B	10	34	48	12	12	10	41	35	6	LWWDD
Barco	11	34	46	13	7	14	35	41	-6	LLDLL
Alondras	12	34	45	12	9	13	45	48	-3	WLLWD
Celtiga	13	34	40	11	7	16	47	48	-1	LLLLL
Viveiro	14	34	38	9	11	14	27	41	-14	LWLDD
Silva	15	34	36	9	9	16	36	48	-12	DWWWD
Cambados Relegation	16	34	26	4	14	16	24	43	-19	LLLLL
Noia Relegation	17	34	25	6	7	21	28	57	-29	LLWWL
Barbadás Relegation	18	34	19	4	7	23	25	69	-44	LLLLW
Arosa	1	34	70	20	10	4	58	35	23	WWWWL
Compostela	2	34	68	19	11	4	55	28	27	DWWDD
Atlético Arteixo	3	34	58	16	10	8	54	44	10	WDWWL
Estradense	4	34	53	14	11	9	46	33	13	LWLWW
Villalbés	5	34	52	13	13	8	36	29	7	DWLLW
Boiro	6	34	51	13	12	9	45	29	16	DWLWW
Celta de Vigo III	7	34	51	13	12	9	56	41	15	WWWLD
Somozas	8	34	51	13	12	9	37	32	5	DWDLD
CD Lugo B	9	34	49	12	13	9	40	33	7	LWWDD
Coruña	10	34	48	12	12	10	47	41	6	WLDDL
Alondras	11	34	45	12	9	13	45	48	-3	WLLWD
Barco	12	34	44	12	8	14	30	38	-8	LLDLL
Celtiga	13	34	39	10	9	15	42	42	0	LLLLL
Viveiro	14	34	38	9	11	14	27	41	-14	LWLDD
Silva	15	34	36	9	9	16	36	48	-12	DWWWD
Cambados	16	34	26	4	14	16	24	43	-19	LLLLL
Noia	17	34	25	6	7	21	28	57	-29	LLWWL
Barbadás	18	34	19	4	7	23	25	69	-44	LLLLW