Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Santa Catalina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.38) 0.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 18.8% 8.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Praviano 0 8.5% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPravianoLenense
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack38%38%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Praviano Lenense
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins27%31%29%17%0%8%
Draws45%15%29%42%33%38%
Loses27%54%42%42%67%54%

Form: Praviano: DDDLWLDWWWDDLLLWLLDWLLLW • Lenense: WDDDLLLLDDLDLLLDLLWLDDLL

League goals

Metric Praviano Lenense
HATHAT
GF total1492312618
GF avg1.30.71.01.00.50.8
GA total121931172542
GA avg1.11.51.31.42.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePravianoLenense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%63%58%92%
1.517%42%17%50%
2.58%21%0%25%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPravianoLenense
HATHAT
Clean sheets549202
Failed to score4484610

Penalties

MetricPravianoLenense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPravianoLenense
Wins31
Draws33
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-12-0—
Biggest losses1-34-01-44-1
Goals For4121
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricPravianoLenense
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Praviano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Praviano = 1.98 (league 1.38), Lenense = 0.48 (league 1.14)

Lenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Praviano 0 8.5% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 8.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1