Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio El Castañar
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.50)
0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.6% | 24.1% | 17.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barquereño | 0 | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 89% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 45% | 15% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Draws | 9% | 23% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 45% | 62% | 54% | 58% | 67% | 63% |
Form: Barquereño: LLLLWLDDLLWLDWLWWLLLWWLD • Noja: LLDDLLWDLLLWWLLDDLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 24 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barquereño | Noja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 42% | 13% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 21% | 4% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 5-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barquereño | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.6% | 37.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Barquereño or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barquereño = 1.68 (league 1.50), Noja = 0.80 (league 1.13)
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barquereño | 0 | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 17.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1