Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Tabira
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.48)
0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.0% | 37.2% | 34.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
18.3%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 23.1% | 18.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 11% | 50% |
| Defense | 72% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 80% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Durango: DDDWDDDLL • Derio: WLDLLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Durango | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 56% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 22% | 44% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 18% | 82% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Derio and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Durango = 0.67 (league 1.48), Derio = 0.79 (league 1.14)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 23.1% | 18.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 34.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1