Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Sarriena
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.48)
1.71 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.6% | 20.4% | 29.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Aurrerá Vitoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 85% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Leioa: LWWLLDWWD • Aurrerá Vitoria: WWLWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 67% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 11% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Leioa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leioa = 2.19 (league 1.48), Aurrerá Vitoria = 1.71 (league 1.14)
| Aurrerá Vitoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 29.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1