Derio 1-0 Leioa: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Derio 1-0 Leioa: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 🌍 Spain

Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 15:30

Derio

1 - 0

HT 0 - 0

Leioa

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

🌍 Spain

🏟️ Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.25

League avg: 1.25

Both

2.50

League avg: 2.50

Away

1.25

League avg: 1.25

1X2 Probability

Home

33%

ELO-based: 33%

Draw

34%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

33%

ELO-based: 43%

Goal Probability

2.5+

46%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 110%

1 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Derio vs Leioa

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Derio vs Leioa.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Leioa
		0	1	2	3	4
Derio	0	8.2%	10.3%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
	1	10.3%	12.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
	2	6.4%	8.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
	3	2.7%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1519-13

League

1490±0

Away

1569+3

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Derio	1519	1519	1505	1521	1528	-13
Leioa	1569	1575	1548	1541	1443	+3

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Derio	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Leioa	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Derio	—	—	—	—	—	—
Leioa	—	—	—	—	—	—

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Derio	—	—	—	—	—	—
Leioa	—	—	—	—	—	—

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Derio	—	—	—	—
Leioa	—	—	—	—

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	—	—	—	—
16-30	—	—	—	—
31-45	—	—	—	—
46-60	—	—	—	—
61-75	—	—	—	—
76-90	—	—	—	—

Team Comparison

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Derio	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —
Leioa	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Derio	—	—	—	—	—	—
Leioa	—	—	—	—	—	—

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Derio	—	—	—	—	—	—
Leioa	—	—	—	—	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Portugalete Promotion	1	34	78	24	6	4	70	29	41	WLDWL
Leioa Promotion Playoffs	2	34	61	18	7	9	50	34	16	WWLWL
Derio Promotion Playoffs	3	34	58	17	7	10	54	40	14	LLWLW
Lagun Onak Promotion Playoffs	4	34	57	17	6	11	53	34	19	LWWDD
Touring Promotion Playoffs	5	34	57	16	9	9	47	35	12	WLLLD
Real Sociedad III	6	34	55	17	4	13	48	39	9	WWWWW
San Ignacio	7	34	55	16	7	11	37	27	10	WLWLD
Aurrerá Vitoria	8	34	54	16	7	12	42	40	2	WWLDL
Deportivo Alavés III	9	34	53	15	8	11	57	40	17	LWLWW
Aretxabaleta	10	34	45	13	6	15	56	61	-5	WLLLW
Durango	11	34	44	11	11	12	35	36	-1	WLDWD
Santurtzi	12	34	39	9	12	13	32	45	-13	LWDWL
Eibar III	13	34	36	9	9	16	44	53	-9	WDWLD
Pasaia KE	14	34	36	9	9	16	26	46	-20	LLDWL
Añorga	15	34	34	11	4	19	37	59	-22	LWDWL
Zamudio Relegation	16	34	33	9	6	19	42	59	-17	LLDLW
Zarautz Relegation	17	34	30	8	6	20	30	60	-30	LWDLL
Deusto Relegation	18	34	26	6	8	21	26	49	-23	LLLDW