Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo 2 Alcorcón
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.44)
2.55 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 15.4% | 69.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.0%
0 - 3
9.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcorcón II | 0 | 3.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 18% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 75% | 20% | 44% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 80% | 56% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Alcorcón II: DDLLLDLDL • Móstoles: DLWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alcorcón II | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 78% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 44% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 33% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alcorcón II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
Advice: Winner : Móstoles
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alcorcón II = 0.83 (league 1.44), Móstoles = 2.55 (league 1.17)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcorcón II | 0 | 3.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.0% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 69.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1