Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:15 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.25)
0.16 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2% | 28.9% | 4.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
30.2%
0 - 0
23.7%
2 - 0
19.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mirandés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 23.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.2% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 60% | 10% |
| Defense | 60% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 64% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWW • Mirandés II: WLLWWLDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 45% | 36% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 27% | 18% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mirandés II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 75.5% | 24.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 1.28 (league 1.25), Mirandés II = 0.16 (league 0.97)
| Mirandés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 23.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.2% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 4.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1