Palencia CF 4-1 Bembibre: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Palencia CF 4-1 Bembibre: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 🌍 Spain

Sun, May 10 2026 · 16:00

Palencia CF

4 - 1

Bembibre

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.75

League avg: 1.70

Both

2.70

League avg: 2.80

Away

0.95

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

67%

ELO-based: 48%

Draw

19%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 28%

Goal Probability

2.5+

54%

3.5+

39%

BTTS

71%

Best Score Tips

1 - 012%

1 - 111%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Palencia CF vs Bembibre

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Palencia CF vs Bembibre.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Bembibre
		0	1	2	3	4
Palencia CF	0	6.7%	6.4%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	11.8%	11.2%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
	2	10.3%	9.8%	4.6%	1.5%	0.3%
	3	6.0%	5.7%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
	4	2.6%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1537+14

League

1498±0

Away

1440+12

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Palencia CF	1537	1541	1517	1559	1522	+14
Bembibre	1440	1442	1453	1460	1412	+12

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Palencia CF	4	33	61	19	4	10	55	38	WLLWL
Bembibre	14	33	34	8	10	15	37	48	LDDDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Palencia CF	5	40%	69%	23%	1.8	2.0
Bembibre	5	40%	92%	15%	2.4	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Palencia CF	1.9	1.5	1.7	0.9	1.4	1.2
Bembibre	1.2	1.0	1.1	1.3	1.6	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Palencia CF	1.7	1.9	1.2	0.9
Bembibre	1.1	1.0	1.5	1.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	18.87%	17.65%	7.32%	11.54%
16-30	15.09%	20.59%	14.63%	15.38%
31-45	13.21%	17.65%	26.83%	23.08%
46-60	24.53%	11.76%	14.63%	1.92%
61-75	9.43%	14.71%	9.76%	19.23%
76-90	18.87%	17.65%	26.83%	26.92%

Team Comparison

Form

43%

Attack

57%

52%

Defense

48%

71%

Poisson

29%

71%

H2H

29%

67%

Goals

33%

59%

Total

41%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Palencia CF	4-0	1-4	1-2	3-1	4 / 4	2 / 3
Bembibre	4-0	1-2	0-4	4-1	4 / 3	4 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Palencia CF	9	5	4	5	2	3
Bembibre	9	5	4	10	5	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Palencia CF	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Bembibre	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-11	Bembibre	1 - 4 FT	Palencia CF
2025-01-19	Bembibre	0 - 3 FT	Palencia CF
2024-09-08	Palencia CF	1 - 1 FT	Bembibre
2024-03-24	Palencia CF	1 - 0 FT	Bembibre
2023-11-05	Bembibre	3 - 1 FT	Palencia CF
2023-04-02	Bembibre	0 - 1 FT	Palencia CF

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
81'	Palencia CF	D. Vallecillo	Goal	Normal Goal
68'	Palencia CF	R. Botia	Goal	Normal Goal
55'	Palencia CF	M. Robles	Goal	Normal Goal
45+1'	Palencia CF	I. Comendez	Goal	Normal Goal
9'	Bembibre	M. Arias	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Atlético Tordesillas Promotion	1	34	78	24	6	4	62	24	38	LLWWW
Guijuelo Promotion Playoffs	2	34	70	21	7	6	54	26	28	DWWLD
Cristo Atlético Promotion Playoffs	3	34	68	21	5	8	48	24	24	LWLWW
Palencia CF Promotion Playoffs	4	34	64	20	4	10	59	39	20	WWLWL
UD Santa Marta Promotion Playoffs	5	34	62	18	8	8	53	31	22	DDWDD
Atlético Mansillés	6	34	57	15	12	7	31	27	4	DLWWW
Almazán	7	34	48	12	12	10	49	38	11	DWLLL
Mirandés II	8	34	47	13	8	13	43	35	8	WLLDW
La Virgen del Camino	9	34	44	12	8	14	31	37	-6	LLLLL
Cultural Leonesa II	10	34	42	12	6	16	38	43	-5	DWWLL
Villaralbo	11	34	42	11	9	14	29	37	-8	LWWDW
Arandina	12	34	37	9	10	15	32	46	-14	LWDDW
Colegios Diocesanos	13	34	36	10	6	18	33	54	-21	LLWLL
Bembibre	14	34	34	8	10	16	38	52	-14	LWDDD
Unionistas II	15	34	31	6	13	15	32	43	-11	WWLWL
Mojados Relegation	16	34	31	7	10	17	28	55	-27	WWLDL
Becerril Campos Relegation	17	34	29	7	8	19	41	60	-19	WLDWL
Numancia II Relegation	18	34	24	6	6	22	26	56	-30	LLLDL