Almazán 1-1 UD Santa Marta: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Almazán 1-1 UD Santa Marta: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 🌍 Spain

Sun, May 10 2026 · 16:00

Almazán

1 - 1

UD Santa Marta

🏆 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.40

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.50

League avg: 3.10

Away

1.10

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

42%

ELO-based: 33%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

31%

ELO-based: 43%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

69%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

0 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Almazán vs UD Santa Marta

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Almazán vs UD Santa Marta.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		UD Santa Marta
		0	1	2	3	4
Almazán	0	8.2%	9.0%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
	1	11.5%	12.6%	7.0%	2.5%	0.7%
	2	8.0%	8.8%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
	3	3.8%	4.1%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	1.3%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1517-13

League

1498±0

Away

1564±0

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Almazán	1517	1513	1517	1553	1540	-13
UD Santa Marta	1564	1565	1511	1579	1584	±0

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Almazán	7	33	47	12	11	10	48	37	WLLLW
UD Santa Marta	5	33	61	18	7	8	52	30	WDDDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Almazán	5	40%	54%	69%	1.4	0.8
UD Santa Marta	5	60%	77%	38%	2.0	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Almazán	1.7	1.2	1.5	0.9	1.4	1.1
UD Santa Marta	1.8	1.3	1.6	0.7	1.1	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Almazán	1.5	1.7	1.1	0.9
UD Santa Marta	1.6	1.3	0.9	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	22.00%	11.76%	8.57%	12.90%
16-30	14.00%	13.73%	17.14%	16.13%
31-45	20.00%	17.65%	8.57%	16.13%
46-60	8.00%	19.61%	31.43%	25.81%
61-75	14.00%	17.65%	14.29%	12.90%
76-90	22.00%	19.61%	20.00%	16.13%

Team Comparison

Form

41%

Attack

59%

67%

Defense

33%

56%

Poisson

44%

38%

H2H

62%

Goals

47%

Total

53%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Almazán	5-0	1-3	1-3	3-0	5 / 3	3 / 4
UD Santa Marta	5-0	1-3	0-2	2-0	5 / 3	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Almazán	8	5	3	9	3	6
UD Santa Marta	15	10	5	5	2	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Almazán	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
UD Santa Marta	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-10	UD Santa Marta	3 - 2 FT	Almazán
2025-01-19	Almazán	1 - 1 FT	UD Santa Marta
2024-09-07	UD Santa Marta	0 - 0 FT	Almazán
2024-01-28	Almazán	1 - 0 FT	UD Santa Marta
2023-09-09	UD Santa Marta	2 - 0 FT	Almazán
2023-03-18	UD Santa Marta	1 - 1 FT	Almazán

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
35'	Almazán	O. Gonzalez	Goal	Normal Goal
14'	UD Santa Marta	I. Dieng	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Atlético Tordesillas Promotion	1	34	78	24	6	4	62	24	38	LLWWW
Guijuelo Promotion Playoffs	2	34	70	21	7	6	54	26	28	DWWLD
Cristo Atlético Promotion Playoffs	3	34	68	21	5	8	48	24	24	WLWWW
Palencia CF Promotion Playoffs	4	34	64	20	4	10	59	39	20	WLWLL
UD Santa Marta Promotion Playoffs	5	34	62	18	8	8	53	31	22	DDWDD
Atlético Mansillés	6	34	57	15	12	7	31	27	4	DLWWW
Almazán	7	34	48	12	12	10	49	38	11	DWLLL
Mirandés II	8	34	47	13	8	13	43	35	8	WLLDW
La Virgen del Camino	9	34	44	12	8	14	31	37	-6	LLLLL
Cultural Leonesa II	10	34	42	12	6	16	38	43	-5	DWWLL
Villaralbo	11	34	42	11	9	14	29	37	-8	LWWDW
Arandina	12	34	37	9	10	15	32	46	-14	LWDDW
Colegios Diocesanos	13	34	36	10	6	18	33	54	-21	LLWLL
Bembibre	14	34	34	8	10	16	38	52	-14	LWDDD
Unionistas II	15	34	31	6	13	15	32	43	-11	WWLWL
Mojados Relegation	16	34	31	7	10	17	28	55	-27	WWLDL
Becerril Campos Relegation	17	34	29	7	8	19	41	60	-19	WLDWL
Numancia II Relegation	18	34	24	6	6	22	26	56	-30	LLLDL