Sun, Mar 8 2026 ā¢ 17:00 ā¢
Estadio Escribano Castilla
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.34)
0.36 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.4% | 14.2% | 4.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 36% |
| Defense | 55% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| Wins | 67% | 42% | 54% | 38% | 10% | 26% |
| Draws | 25% | 42% | 33% | 31% | 20% | 26% |
| Loses | 8% | 17% | 13% | 31% | 70% | 48% |
Form: Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWDWLLWWDWDDW ā¢ Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLDLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Motril | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 58% | 52% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 26% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 4% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Motril | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.5% |
Advice: Winner : Motril
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Motril = 2.29 (league 1.34), Mancha Real = 0.36 (league 0.99)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.4% Ā· Draw 14.2% Ā· Away win 4.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1