Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 — Spain
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 10:45 • Nou Camp de Inca
Match Finished

Constància

5 - 0

Alcúdia

Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.59) 0.36 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.9% 13.6% 4.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alcúdia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Constància 0 6.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConstànciaAlcúdia
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack25%19%
Defense75%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Constància Alcúdia
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins58%33%46%54%18%38%
Draws17%17%17%15%0%8%
Loses25%50%38%31%82%54%

Form: Constància: WDWLWLWLLLLWDDWWLWWLWDWL • Alcúdia: LLLLLLWWDLWWWLLWLDWWLWLL

League goals

Metric Constància Alcúdia
HATHAT
GF total20123217724
GF avg1.71.01.31.30.61.0
GA total81523172441
GA avg0.71.31.01.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConstànciaAlcúdia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%58%67%75%
1.533%33%25%50%
2.517%4%4%29%
3.54%0%4%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConstànciaAlcúdia
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410426
Failed to score235268

Penalties

MetricConstànciaAlcúdia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricConstànciaAlcúdia
Wins23
Draws21
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-30-1
Biggest losses0-22-00-35-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricConstànciaAlcúdia
Form54%46%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Constància or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Betano
Away7.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Constància vs Alcúdia

Expected goals (λ): Constància = 2.35 (league 1.59), Alcúdia = 0.36 (league 1.16)

Alcúdia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Constància 0 6.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.9% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 4.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1