Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Yaiza
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.58)
1.06 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| UD San Fernando | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 27% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 80% | 20% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWD • UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 30% | 50% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Unión Sur Yaiza or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Unión Sur Yaiza = 2.05 (league 1.58), UD San Fernando = 1.06 (league 0.94)
| UD San Fernando | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 18.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1