PFL
— Philippines
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 10:00 •
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.95)
1.11 (league 2.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 25.9% | 28.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Maharlika | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Davao Aguilas | 0 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 29% | 35% |
| Defense | 76% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | — | 33% | 33% | — | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 67% | 67% | — | 33% | 33% |
Form: Davao Aguilas: LLW • Maharlika: WLW
League goals
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-5 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Davao Aguilas | Maharlika |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 57.4% | 42.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Davao Aguilas or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Davao Aguilas = 1.48 (league 1.95), Maharlika = 1.11 (league 2.33)
| Maharlika | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Davao Aguilas | 0 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 28.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1