PFL
— Philippines
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 09:45 •
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.95)
0.73 (league 2.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 26.4% | 18.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tuloy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manila Digger | 0 | 11.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 83% | 33% |
| Attack | 74% | 26% |
| Defense | 74% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Wins | 67% | 100% | 75% | 33% | — | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | — | 67% |
Form: Manila Digger: WDWW • Tuloy: LWL
League goals
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manila Digger | Tuloy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-9 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manila Digger | Tuloy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 74% | 26% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Manila Digger and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manila Digger = 1.48 (league 1.95), Tuloy = 0.73 (league 2.33)
| Tuloy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manila Digger | 0 | 11.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 18.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1