PFL — Philippines
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 08:00 • Rizal Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.58 (league 1.95) 0.64 (league 2.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.0% 7.3% 3.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
10.0%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Garelli United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Davao Aguilas 0 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDavao AguilasGarelli United
Played54
Form60%25%
Attack44%7%
Defense74%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Davao Aguilas Garelli United
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins100%33%60%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%40%100%50%75%

Form: Davao Aguilas: LLWWW • Garelli United: LLLW

League goals

Metric Davao Aguilas Garelli United
HATHAT
GF total7512022
GF avg3.51.72.40.01.00.5
GA total3477411
GA avg1.51.31.43.52.02.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDavao AguilasGarelli United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%25%100%
1.560%40%25%50%
2.540%20%0%50%
3.540%0%0%25%
4.540%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDavao AguilasGarelli United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricDavao AguilasGarelli United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDavao AguilasGarelli United
Wins00
Draws00
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-5—1-2
Biggest losses—3-00-63-0
Goals For5502
Goals Against2363

Model comparison

MetricDavao AguilasGarelli United
Form75%25%
Att86%14%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total72.8%27.3%

Advice: Winner : Davao Aguilas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Davao Aguilas = 3.58 (league 1.95), Garelli United = 0.64 (league 2.33)

Garelli United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Davao Aguilas 0 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.0% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1