PFL — Philippines
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • Rizal Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.14 (league 1.95) 1.16 (league 2.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 2.5% 1.3%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.7%
5 - 0
4.9%
4 - 1
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Manila Digger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaya 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKayaManila Digger
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack90%67%
Defense90%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

15.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kaya Manila Digger
HATHAT
Played437516
Wins100%67%86%60%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%40%0%33%
Loses0%33%14%0%0%0%

Form: Kaya: WWWWWLW • Manila Digger: WDWWWD

League goals

Metric Kaya Manila Digger
HATHAT
GF total2483214923
GF avg6.02.74.62.89.03.8
GA total022628
GA avg0.00.70.31.22.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKayaManila Digger
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%100%83%
1.557%0%50%50%
2.557%0%50%0%
3.543%0%33%0%
4.543%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKayaManila Digger
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricKayaManila Digger
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricKayaManila Digger
Wins53
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins12-01-78-22-9
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For12789
Goals Against0122

Model comparison

MetricKayaManila Digger
Form52%48%
Att58%42%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total58.4%41.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kaya or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Marathonbet
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kaya = 6.14 (league 1.95), Manila Digger = 1.16 (league 2.33)

Manila Digger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaya 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 2.5% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1