Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.11)
0.54 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.7% | 42.4% | 26.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.8%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bugesera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kiyovu Sports | 0 | 30.8% | 16.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 100% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
33%
FT probability
2.5+
23%
FT probability
3.5+
16%
FT probability
BTTS
36%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Kiyovu Sports: LWDDDW • Bugesera: WDDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 24% | 76% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Kiyovu Sports or draw and -2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kiyovu Sports = 0.63 (league 1.11), Bugesera = 0.54 (league 0.90)
| Bugesera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kiyovu Sports | 0 | 30.8% | 16.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 26.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1