A Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:30 • FK ?algiris namu stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.43) 2.20 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 19.0% 64.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Suduva Marijampole
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Trakai 0 4.4% 9.7% 10.7% 7.8% 4.3% 1.9%
1 4.1% 8.9% 9.8% 7.2% 4.0% 1.8%
2 1.9% 4.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK TrakaiSuduva Marijampole
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack29%43%
Defense7%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Trakai Suduva Marijampole
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins20%7%13%47%40%43%
Draws13%20%17%40%33%37%
Loses67%73%70%13%27%20%

Form: FK Trakai: LDDLWWDLDLLLLLLWLLLLDLLLLLWLLL • Suduva Marijampole: WWLWWDLDWDWWDWDDDWWDLDLWLWDWDL

League goals

Metric FK Trakai Suduva Marijampole
HATHAT
GF total171330222042
GF avg1.10.91.01.51.31.4
GA total323567131831
GA avg2.12.32.20.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK TrakaiSuduva Marijampole
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%90%77%60%
1.523%73%40%30%
2.513%33%13%13%
3.50%17%10%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK TrakaiSuduva Marijampole
HATHAT
Clean sheets2137512
Failed to score6511347

Penalties

MetricFK TrakaiSuduva Marijampole
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFK TrakaiSuduva Marijampole
Wins22
Draws23
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-56-11-33-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricFK TrakaiSuduva Marijampole
Form27%73%
Att40%60%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Suduva Marijampole

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away1.62 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Trakai = 0.92 (league 1.43), Suduva Marijampole = 2.20 (league 1.24)

Suduva Marijampole
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Trakai 0 4.4% 9.7% 10.7% 7.8% 4.3% 1.9%
1 4.1% 8.9% 9.8% 7.2% 4.0% 1.8%
2 1.9% 4.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 64.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1