Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio do Buraco
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.18)
0.82 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.3% | 27.9% | 22.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Recreativo do Libolo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Académica do Lobito | 0 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 60% | 40% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
Form: Académica do Lobito: DDDDWLLLDW • Recreativo do Libolo: WWDWWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 90% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Académica do Lobito | Recreativo do Libolo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Recreativo do Libolo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Académica do Lobito = 1.36 (league 1.18), Recreativo do Libolo = 0.82 (league 0.78)
| Recreativo do Libolo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Académica do Lobito | 0 | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 22.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1