Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 •
Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.59)
1.17 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.2% | 23.9% | 25.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mossley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 29% | 18% |
| Defense | 82% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 63% | 0% | 31% | 25% | 14% | 20% |
| Draws | 13% | 25% | 19% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Loses | 25% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
Form: Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWLWLDWDWL • Mossley: LDDDLWDWLDDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle Town | Mossley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 56% | 60% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 40% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Newcastle Town or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Town = 1.71 (league 1.59), Mossley = 1.17 (league 1.31)
| Mossley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 25.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1