Kamen Ivanbegovina vs Zagora

Third NL - Jug — Croatia

Sun, May 10 2026 • 15:30 • Igralište NK Kamen

Not Started

home	draw	away
7.6%	14.5%	73.5%

		Zagora
Kamen Ivanbegovina	0	4.1%	10.4%	13.1%	11.1%	7.0%	3.6%
1	2.7%	6.9%	8.7%	7.3%	4.6%	2.4%
2	0.9%	2.3%	2.9%	2.4%	1.5%	0.8%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Away strong edge

Zagora carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 188 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kamen Ivanbegovina -5.8, Zagora +38.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Kamen Ivanbegovina Elo 1420.2 · -5.8

Zagora Elo 1643.2 · +38.6

Elo gapZagora +188

Home / draw / away21% / 18% / 61%

Expected home share25%

Combined Elo3063.4

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3063.4

Elo home share 25%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Zagora
Overall Elo	1420.2	1643.2
Form Elo	1432.3	1670.6
Home / Away Elo	1498.3	1528.7
Attack Elo	1452.4	1733.4
Defense Elo	1293.2	1582.5
Last 5 Elo change	-5.8	+38.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kamen Ivanbegovina last-5 Elo change: -5.8; Zagora last-5 Elo change: +38.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Zagora
Played	5	5
Form	33%	100%
Attack	33%	100%
Defense	33%	83%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	14 \| 2.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%

FT probability

2.5+

60%

FT probability

3.5+

43%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina			Zagora
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	13	13	26
Wins	42%	0%	20%	92%	54%	73%
Draws	25%	15%	20%	8%	15%	12%
Loses	33%	85%	60%	0%	31%	15%

Kamen IvanbegovinaLLDLLLDLLLLLDLLWWLWWLWDDL

ZagoraWDWWLWWWWDLWWWWLWDLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina			Zagora
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	12	11	23	38	21	59
GF avg	1.0	0.8	0.9	2.9	1.6	2.3
GA total	19	39	58	9	16	25
GA avg	1.6	3.0	2.3	0.7	1.2	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Kamen Ivanbegovina		Zagora
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	60%	76%	92%	58%
1.5	20%	52%	62%	27%
2.5	4%	44%	42%	12%
3.5	4%	32%	19%	0%
4.5	4%	16%	8%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina			Zagora
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	1	6	7	4	11
Failed to score	5	5	10	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Zagora
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Zagora
Wins	2	4
Draws	2	1
Losses	5	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	—	6-1	0-4
Biggest losses	1-6	6-0	—	3-0
Goals For	5	2	6	4
Goals Against	6	6	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Zagora
Form	25%	75%
Att	22%	78%
Def	20%	80%
Poisson Distribution	22%	78%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	21%	79%
Total	21.7%	78.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Kamen Ivanbegovina vs Zagora

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Zagora
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Kamen Ivanbegovina vs Zagora