Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
The Homelands
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.98)
2.10 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 21.0% | 52.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 27% |
| Defense | 27% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 38% | 42% | 40% | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Draws | 31% | 0% | 16% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
| Loses | 31% | 58% | 44% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
Form: Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDLWLWLDWWLWWW • Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWWWWLDWWLWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 27 | 54 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashford United | Merstham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 92% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 64% | 48% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 24% | 24% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 12% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-6 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashford United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 81% | 19% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Merstham
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashford United = 1.38 (league 1.98), Merstham = 2.10 (league 1.54)
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 52.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1