Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.31) 1.44 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.9% 26.7% 60.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.6%
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventude 0 14.3% 20.6% 14.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.2% 10.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudeCruzeiro
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack58%42%
Defense50%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventude Cruzeiro
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%18%27%71%38%55%
Draws19%12%15%18%44%30%
Loses44%71%58%12%19%15%

Form: Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLWLLWW • Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Juventude Cruzeiro
HATHAT
GF total171229301646
GF avg1.10.70.91.81.01.4
GA total194059121022
GA avg1.22.41.80.70.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudeCruzeiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%79%73%52%
1.527%52%42%12%
2.53%27%15%3%
3.50%12%9%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudeCruzeiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets4377916
Failed to score5914279

Penalties

MetricJuventudeCruzeiro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricJuventudeCruzeiro
Wins14
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses1-36-01-23-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against3623

Model comparison

MetricJuventudeCruzeiro
Form45%55%
Att58%42%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h29%71%
Goals13%88%
Total31.0%69.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away2.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventude = 0.51 (league 1.31), Cruzeiro = 1.44 (league 0.83)

Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventude 0 14.3% 20.6% 14.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.2% 10.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 60.0%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1