Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Campo Mirko Fersini
Match Finished

Lazio W

1 - 0

Napoli W

Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.80) 1.66 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 24.4% 49.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio W 0 6.3% 10.4% 8.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazio WNapoli W
Played44
Form50%58%
Attack29%33%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio W Napoli W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%50%50%50%0%25%

Form: Lazio W: WWLL • Napoli W: WWLD

League goals

Metric Lazio W Napoli W
HATHAT
GF total246257
GF avg1.02.01.51.02.51.8
GA total257347
GA avg1.02.51.81.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazio WNapoli W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%75%
1.575%25%25%50%
2.50%25%25%50%
3.50%25%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazio WNapoli W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricLazio WNapoli W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLazio WNapoli W
Wins22
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-21-03-4
Biggest losses0-14-21-3—
Goals For2214
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricLazio WNapoli W
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lazio W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away6.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Lazio W vs Napoli W

Expected goals (λ): Lazio W = 1.11 (league 1.80), Napoli W = 1.66 (league 1.51)

Napoli W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio W 0 6.3% 10.4% 8.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 49.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1