Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.42) 0.50 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 41.7% 23.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.2%
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Petare FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragua FC 0 30.2% 15.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 10.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack50%100%
Defense25%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aragua FC Petare FC
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%21%29%64%36%50%
Draws57%21%39%36%50%43%
Loses7%57%32%0%14%7%

Form: Aragua FC: DDLDWDWWDDDWWLDLLLDWDLWDLWLL • Petare FC: DDWWWDDDDLWWDWDWDWWDWDLDWWWW

League goals

Metric Aragua FC Petare FC
HATHAT
GF total16723281543
GF avg1.10.50.82.01.11.5
GA total51419101323
GA avg0.41.00.70.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAragua FCPetare FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%54%68%54%
1.518%11%50%25%
2.511%4%18%4%
3.54%0%11%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets94137613
Failed to score6814369

Penalties

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Wins23
Draws34
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-16-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-0—3-0
Goals For4263
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Form24%76%
Att20%80%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h38%62%
Goals29%71%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Petare FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aragua FC = 0.70 (league 1.42), Petare FC = 0.50 (league 0.88)

Petare FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragua FC 0 30.2% 15.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 10.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 41.7% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1