Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:25 • Estadio Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.56) 1.72 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 22.9% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Diriangén
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.8% 10.0% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal EstelíDiriangén
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack44%50%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Estelí Diriangén
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%29%50%57%57%57%
Draws29%43%36%43%14%29%
Loses0%29%14%0%29%14%

Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDL • Diriangén: WWWWLDLWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Real Estelí Diriangén
HATHAT
GF total13922211940
GF avg1.91.31.63.02.72.9
GA total49134913
GA avg0.61.30.90.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal EstelíDiriangén
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%86%64%
1.536%21%64%29%
2.521%7%43%0%
3.514%0%29%0%
4.50%0%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal EstelíDiriangén
HATHAT
Clean sheets415415
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricReal EstelíDiriangén
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricReal EstelíDiriangén
Wins34
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-37-01-8
Biggest losses3-12-0
Goals For4378
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricReal EstelíDiriangén
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Diriangén

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 1xBet
No2.15 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 1.59 (league 1.56), Diriangén = 1.72 (league 0.94)

Diriangén
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.8% 10.0% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1