Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 •
Addis Abeba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 0.89)
0.98 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5% | 34.0% | 41.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Fasil Ketema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mekelakeya | 0 | 19.2% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 83% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 63% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 67% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mekelakeya: WDWW • Fasil Ketema: DWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mekelakeya | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fasil Ketema and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mekelakeya = 0.68 (league 0.89), Fasil Ketema = 0.98 (league 1.02)
| Fasil Ketema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mekelakeya | 0 | 19.2% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 41.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1