Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:00 •
Addis Abeba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 0.87)
0.50 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5% | 45.0% | 25.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
34.5%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Dire Dawa Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kedus Giorgis | 0 | 34.5% | 17.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 38% | 36% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 38% | 50% | 43% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 36% | 38% | 17% | 29% |
Form: Kedus Giorgis: WWLWWLLWLDDDDL • Dire Dawa Kenema: LWWLWDLDDDWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 71% | 43% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 0% | 21% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kedus Giorgis | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dire Dawa Kenema and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kedus Giorgis = 0.56 (league 0.87), Dire Dawa Kenema = 0.50 (league 0.98)
| Dire Dawa Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kedus Giorgis | 0 | 34.5% | 17.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 25.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1