Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 0.88) 0.51 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.1% 21.9% 10.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Welayta Dicha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Negelle Arsi 0 10.4% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.2% 9.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNegelle ArsiWelayta Dicha
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense80%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Negelle Arsi Welayta Dicha
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%57%50%29%0%14%
Draws43%14%29%43%43%43%
Loses14%29%21%29%57%43%

Form: Negelle Arsi: DLLDDWWDWLWWWW • Welayta Dicha: LLLLDDWDDWLDDL

League goals

Metric Negelle Arsi Welayta Dicha
HATHAT
GF total88169514
GF avg1.11.11.11.30.71.0
GA total54981018
GA avg0.70.60.61.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNegelle ArsiWelayta Dicha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%50%71%93%
1.536%14%21%36%
2.57%0%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNegelle ArsiWelayta Dicha
HATHAT
Clean sheets347101
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricNegelle ArsiWelayta Dicha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNegelle ArsiWelayta Dicha
Wins21
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-1—
Biggest losses0-12-11-22-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricNegelle ArsiWelayta Dicha
Form71%29%
Att54%46%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.8%28.3%

Advice: Double chance : Negelle Arsi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.46 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Negelle Arsi = 1.76 (league 0.88), Welayta Dicha = 0.51 (league 0.97)

Welayta Dicha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Negelle Arsi 0 10.4% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.2% 9.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 10.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1