Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 0.87) 0.87 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 39.9% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.8%
0 - 1
27.7%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fasil Ketema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheger Ketema 0 31.8% 27.7% 12.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1%
1 8.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSheger KetemaFasil Ketema
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack60%40%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sheger Ketema Fasil Ketema
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins17%25%21%50%33%43%
Draws50%25%36%38%67%50%
Loses33%50%43%13%0%7%

Form: Sheger Ketema: LDWDWLDWLLLLDD • Fasil Ketema: DWWWDDWDDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Sheger Ketema Fasil Ketema
HATHAT
GF total75126410
GF avg1.20.60.90.80.70.7
GA total7916415
GA avg1.21.11.10.50.20.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSheger KetemaFasil Ketema
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%64%29%
1.514%36%7%7%
2.57%7%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSheger KetemaFasil Ketema
HATHAT
Clean sheets1345510
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricSheger KetemaFasil Ketema
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSheger KetemaFasil Ketema
Wins13
Draws12
Losses40

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-11-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-2—
Goals For3212
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricSheger KetemaFasil Ketema
Form20%80%
Att60%40%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fasil Ketema and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Superbet
No1.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sheger Ketema = 0.28 (league 0.87), Fasil Ketema = 0.87 (league 0.96)

Fasil Ketema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheger Ketema 0 31.8% 27.7% 12.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1%
1 8.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 39.9% · Away win 48.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1