First League — Russia
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 13:00 • Volgograd Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.23) 0.37 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.6% 26.5% 9.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
16.8%
0 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 16.5% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotor VolgogradArsenal Tula
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack20%60%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotor Volgograd Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins71%22%44%13%25%19%
Draws14%44%31%63%38%50%
Loses14%33%25%25%38%31%

Form: Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDLDWLD • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDL

League goals

Metric Rotor Volgograd Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total11920131023
GF avg1.61.01.31.61.31.4
GA total291113922
GA avg0.31.00.71.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotor VolgogradArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%38%88%94%
1.531%19%44%44%
2.519%6%13%0%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotor VolgogradArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410011
Failed to score167022

Penalties

MetricRotor VolgogradArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricRotor VolgogradArsenal Tula
Wins31
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-63-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-01-22-1
Goals For3633
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricRotor VolgogradArsenal Tula
Form63%38%
Att25%75%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.2%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rotor Volgograd or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 1xBet
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rotor Volgograd = 1.43 (league 1.23), Arsenal Tula = 0.37 (league 1.04)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 16.5% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1