Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Expected Goals
3.75 (league 1.33)
0.67 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.6%
4 - 0
9.9%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Paraguay W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peru W | 0 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 50% | 40% |
| Attack | 40% | 33% |
| Defense | 20% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Peru W: LWLW • Paraguay W: LLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peru W | Paraguay W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peru W | Paraguay W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Paraguay W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.15 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Peru W
vs
Paraguay W
Expected goals
3.75
Peru W xG
League Avg: 1.33
Total
4.42
0.67
Paraguay W xG
League Avg: 0.75
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.5%
Draw
6.7%
Away
3.0%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
10.6%
Tip
4 - 0
9.9%
Tip
2 - 0
8.5%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Peru W = 3.75 (league 1.33), Paraguay W = 0.67 (league 0.75)
| Paraguay W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peru W | 0 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 6.7% · Away win 3.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1