Ligue 1 — Congo-DR
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Stade des Martyrs
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.21) 1.91 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 19.0% 28.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.0%
3 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC MK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motema Pembe 0 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.1% 5.9% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
2 3.8% 7.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotema PembeFC MK
Played34
Form44%50%
Attack75%63%
Defense38%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 25 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.76 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motema Pembe FC MK
HATHAT
Played303224
Wins33%—33%50%50%50%
Draws33%—33%0%0%0%
Loses33%—33%50%50%50%

Form: Motema Pembe: LWD • FC MK: WLLW

League goals

Metric Motema Pembe FC MK
HATHAT
GF total606325
GF avg2.00.02.01.51.01.3
GA total505336
GA avg1.70.01.71.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotema PembeFC MK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%75%75%
1.533%67%50%50%
2.533%0%0%25%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotema PembeFC MK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricMotema PembeFC MK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMotema PembeFC MK
Wins11
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—2-01-2
Biggest losses1-2—1-32-0
Goals For4022
Goals Against2032

Model comparison

MetricMotema PembeFC MK
Form40%60%
Att55%45%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC MK

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Motema Pembe = 2.48 (league 1.21), FC MK = 1.91 (league 0.89)

FC MK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motema Pembe 0 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.1% 5.9% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
2 3.8% 7.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1