Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio El Palmar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.90) 1.81 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 20.7% 32.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Finland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belgium W 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBelgium WFinland W
Played32
Form67%17%
Attack21%11%
Defense68%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Belgium W Finland W
HATHAT
Played123112
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%50%33%0%100%50%

Form: Belgium W: LWW • Finland W: LD

League goals

Metric Belgium W Finland W
HATHAT
GF total224112
GF avg2.01.01.31.01.01.0
GA total066123
GA avg0.03.02.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBelgium WFinland W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.567%33%0%50%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBelgium WFinland W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBelgium WFinland W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBelgium WFinland W
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2——
Biggest losses—5-0—2-1
Goals For2211
Goals Against0512

Model comparison

MetricBelgium WFinland W
Form86%14%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Belgium W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Belgium W = 2.10 (league 1.90), Finland W = 1.81 (league 1.10)

Finland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belgium W 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1