Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 02:00 • Heart Health Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.17) 0.89 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 20.3% 15.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.8% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sacramento Republic Orange County SC
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%47%43%53%13%33%
Draws47%13%30%33%27%30%
Loses13%40%27%13%60%37%

Form: Sacramento Republic: WDLDLDWDWLDLWWWDWWDLWWDWLWLDWL • Orange County SC: WDLLWLWLLWLWDLWWDWLDLDLDLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Sacramento Republic Orange County SC
HATHAT
GF total232144301444
GF avg1.51.41.52.00.91.5
GA total131427212445
GA avg0.90.90.91.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%60%70%77%
1.553%23%40%43%
2.513%7%23%23%
3.53%0%13%7%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612437
Failed to score448459

Penalties

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Wins32
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-20-34-1
Goals For5343
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Form44%56%
Att54%46%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 188Bet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sacramento Republic = 2.05 (league 1.17), Orange County SC = 0.89 (league 0.91)

Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.8% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1