Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 01:15 • Cancha El Barrial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.58) 2.97 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 17.0% 45.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.0%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 3.9% 2.3%
2 1.4% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0%
4 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack94%94%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 315 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey W América W
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%56%59%67%75%71%
Draws13%11%12%11%13%12%
Loses25%33%29%22%13%18%

Form: Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWW • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Monterrey W América W
HATHAT
GF total191938312556
GF avg2.42.12.23.43.13.3
GA total101424101222
GA avg1.31.61.41.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterrey WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%94%65%
1.553%35%88%47%
2.547%18%59%18%
3.529%18%29%0%
4.518%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets145426
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Wins48
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-511-01-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-2
Goals For55115
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals39%61%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or América W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey W = 2.28 (league 1.58), América W = 2.97 (league 1.36)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 3.9% 2.3%
2 1.4% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0%
4 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 45.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1