Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 01:15 •
Estadio Azteca
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.58)
1.71 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
5.9%
4 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Monterrey W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| América W | 0 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 75% | 69% |
| Defense | 56% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Draws | 11% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 11% | 17% |
| Loses | 22% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 33% | 28% |
Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWD • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 26 | 57 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GF avg | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | América W | Monterrey W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 67% | 78% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 17% | 44% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 0% | 28% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 11-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | América W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : América W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): América W = 3.43 (league 1.58), Monterrey W = 1.71 (league 1.35)
| Monterrey W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| América W | 0 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 15.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1