Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.57) 1.96 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 17.4% 24.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.5%
2 - 2
6.4%
3 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.3% 4.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
2 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.2% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack100%94%
Defense69%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins67%89%78%50%38%44%
Draws22%11%17%10%38%22%
Loses11%0%6%40%25%33%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWW • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Pachuca W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
GF total253762241943
GF avg2.84.13.42.42.42.4
GA total101121161329
GA avg1.11.21.21.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WCruz Azul W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%89%83%
1.589%39%61%56%
2.561%0%50%22%
3.533%0%39%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Wins63
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-94-01-4
Biggest losses1-2—0-23-1
Goals For5944
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WCruz Azul W
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pachuca W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 10Bet
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 2.85 (league 1.57), Cruz Azul W = 1.96 (league 1.35)

Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.3% 4.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
2 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.2% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1