Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 03:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.58) 0.83 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 29.7% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 13.0% 10.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.8% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca WGuadalajara W
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack94%75%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 312 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins75%40%56%44%67%56%
Draws13%50%33%44%0%22%
Loses13%10%11%11%33%22%

Form: Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWD • Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWDLWD

League goals

Metric Toluca W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
GF total191837181331
GF avg2.41.82.12.01.41.7
GA total6131912719
GA avg0.81.31.11.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca WGuadalajara W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%100%56%
1.567%22%50%33%
2.528%11%11%11%
3.511%6%11%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca WGuadalajara W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426358
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricToluca WGuadalajara W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricToluca WGuadalajara W
Wins55
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-14-32-42-1
Goals For6342
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricToluca WGuadalajara W
Form58%42%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Toluca W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca W = 1.22 (league 1.58), Guadalajara W = 0.83 (league 1.36)

Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 13.0% 10.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.8% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 25.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1