USL League One — USA
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 00:00 • Regal Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.14) 0.54 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.2% 21.3% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Naples
0 1 2 3 4 5
One Knoxville 0 9.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 9.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOne KnoxvilleNaples
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack75%33%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric One Knoxville Naples
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins75%33%55%63%27%45%
Draws25%33%29%25%27%26%
Loses0%33%16%13%47%29%

Form: One Knoxville: DWWWDDLDWLWWDDWDWWLDWLWDWWLWWWW • Naples: DWWDWWLLLWDDLLWDWWWDDDWWLWLLLWW

League goals

Metric One Knoxville Naples
HATHAT
GF total261945271441
GF avg1.61.31.51.70.91.3
GA total81927131932
GA avg0.51.30.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOne KnoxvilleNaples
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%61%77%68%
1.545%23%42%26%
2.510%3%10%6%
3.50%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOne KnoxvilleNaples
HATHAT
Clean sheets93125510
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricOne KnoxvilleNaples
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricOne KnoxvilleNaples
Wins33
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses—3-10-14-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricOne KnoxvilleNaples
Form67%33%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total68.6%31.4%

Advice: Double chance : One Knoxville or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away4.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): One Knoxville = 1.82 (league 1.14), Naples = 0.54 (league 0.83)

Naples
0 1 2 3 4 5
One Knoxville 0 9.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 9.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1