First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 • Chayka Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.22) 3.44 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 6.7% 77.7%
best score tips
0 - 3
13.9%
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 4
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 2.1% 7.1% 12.1% 13.9% 11.9% 8.2%
1 0.9% 3.2% 5.4% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChaykaFK Neftekhimik
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack17%33%
Defense39%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chayka FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Played8111911819
Wins0%18%11%27%25%26%
Draws25%27%26%45%50%47%
Loses75%55%63%27%25%26%

Form: Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWLLLLL • FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Chayka FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
GF total4111591221
GF avg0.51.00.80.81.51.1
GA total19203913922
GA avg2.41.82.11.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChaykaFK Neftekhimik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%79%79%63%
1.521%53%21%21%
2.511%37%5%21%
3.50%26%5%5%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChaykaFK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Clean sheets134617
Failed to score5510314

Penalties

MetricChaykaFK Neftekhimik
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChaykaFK Neftekhimik
Wins13
Draws33
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-31-01-4
Biggest losses0-64-01-53-2
Goals For2324
Goals Against6453

Model comparison

MetricChaykaFK Neftekhimik
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Winner : FK Neftekhimik

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ 188Bet
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away2.29 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chayka = 0.45 (league 1.22), FK Neftekhimik = 3.44 (league 1.05)

FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 2.1% 7.1% 12.1% 13.9% 11.9% 8.2%
1 0.9% 3.2% 5.4% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 6.7% · Away win 77.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1