Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 20:00 • La Quema Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.12) 0.90 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 26.1% 22.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Villa San Carlos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acassuso 0 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 12.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcassusoVilla San Carlos
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack78%44%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Acassuso Villa San Carlos
HATHAT
Played202141212041
Wins40%33%37%48%25%37%
Draws35%33%34%33%30%32%
Loses25%33%29%19%45%32%

Form: Acassuso: WDWDLLWLWDDLWDWWDDWWWDDLWDWWDLLLLDLLWWDLD • Villa San Carlos: WWWWLDLWLWLWDLLDWWLLWWDWDDWLLDDDWLDDLDWLD

League goals

Metric Acassuso Villa San Carlos
HATHAT
GF total272350341347
GF avg1.41.11.21.60.71.1
GA total222547262349
GA avg1.11.21.11.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcassusoVilla San Carlos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%71%73%71%
1.534%34%39%34%
2.512%10%2%10%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.52%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcassusoVilla San Carlos
HATHAT
Clean sheets66125712
Failed to score67133811

Penalties

MetricAcassusoVilla San Carlos
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAcassusoVilla San Carlos
Wins34
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-12-44-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricAcassusoVilla San Carlos
Form62%38%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Acassuso or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Acassuso = 1.50 (league 1.12), Villa San Carlos = 0.90 (league 0.86)

Villa San Carlos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acassuso 0 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 12.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1