Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:15 •
Azadi Stadium
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.05)
1.42 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8% | 27.2% | 56.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Tractor Sazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esteghlal FC | 0 | 13.1% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 80% | 40% |
| Defense | 20% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Loses | 14% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWWWWDDDLW • Tractor Sazi: LDWWDDWDLWDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 67% | 47% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 13% | 33% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 7% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Tractor Sazi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tractor Sazi and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 0.61 (league 1.05), Tractor Sazi = 1.42 (league 0.85)
| Tractor Sazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esteghlal FC | 0 | 13.1% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.8% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 56.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1