Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 23:30 •
Yankee Stadium
Expected Goals
5.69 (league 1.27)
1.45 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.7%
4 - 1
5.0%
5 - 2
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Cincinnati | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| New York City FC | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 32% | 50% |
| Defense | 59% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 40% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
New York City FCDWWWLDLL
FC CincinnatiWLLLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | New York City FC | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ Dafabet
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.63 @ SBO
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…