Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio Eva Perón
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.00)
0.73 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.9% | 25.3% | 17.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Gimnasia L.P. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarmiento Junin | 0 | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 63% | 75% |
| Defense | 63% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-7
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 17% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 83% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Sarmiento Junin: LWLWLLLWDLWW • Gimnasia L.P.: WLWLDWLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 67% | 58% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Sarmiento Junin or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.99 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sarmiento Junin
vs
Gimnasia L.P.
Expected goals
1.57
Sarmiento Junin xG
League Avg: 1.00
Total
2.29
0.73
Gimnasia L.P. xG
League Avg: 0.77
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.9%
Draw
25.3%
Away
17.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.8%
Tip
2 - 0
12.4%
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
60%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 7
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sarmiento Junin = 1.57 (league 1.00), Gimnasia L.P. = 0.73 (league 0.77)
| Gimnasia L.P. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarmiento Junin | 0 | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 17.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1